Rationing new medicines in the UK.

In England and Wales the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) issues guidance on the appropriate use of medicines that is based on an assessment of evidence submitted by the manufacturer. The scope of the assessment depends on whether the appraisal concerned is a single technology appraisal or a multiple technology appraisal (box). NICE recently terminated four single technology appraisals of cancer drugs because it did not receive submissions from drug companies that met the institute’s specification of evidence.1 As a result, NICE was unable to recommend the use of the products for the clinical indications for which they were licensed, but it stated that, after considering the reasons for the lack of guidance, NHS organisations could still use the drugs. In contrast, the Scottish Medicines Consortium approves medicines only if drug companies submit evidence, so non-submission results in a recommendation not to use the drugs concerned in the Scottish NHS.2 This situation is one consequence of NICE’s switch to undertaking more single technology appraisals, the main advantage of which is a shorter time between the drug’s marketing approval and a preliminary decision. However, in shortening the time allowed for the appraisal, NICE is largely reliant on information provided by the manufacturer, whereas under the original (multiple) technology appraisal process, the independent review group contracted by NICE also undertook an analysis. One concern is that, in the future, companies could terminate an appraisal by failing to submit data if they thought the chance of a positive NICE recommendation was small. Clinicians or patient organisations could then bring pressure to bear on local decision makers, whereas this would not be possible after a negative NICE appraisal. In most jurisdictions that use an evidence based approach to drug use, this situation cannot arise because a formal application must be made by the manufacturer for inclusion on the national formulary or “positive list.”3 In the United Kingdom, however, most licensed drugs are automatically available for prescribing on the NHS, unless guidance from NICE, the Scottish Medicines Consortium, or the All Wales Medicines Strategy Group limits their use. If terminated appraisals effectively delegate decisions to the local level, this could exacerbate the “postcode lottery” that NICE was created to tackle.4 So what could be done? Moving towards a comprehensive approach for evaluating the clinical effectiveness and cost effectiveness of all new drugs, linked to listing for reimbursement, raises a wide range of questions, not least that of whether NICE could cope with the workload. Certainly, without substantial extra resources it would have to simplify its procedures greatly. In particular, it would need to limit stakeholder involvement and perhaps be less rigorous with its reviews, thereby increasing its reliance on manufacturers’ submissions. fEATURE, p 266, hEAD TO hEAD, p 268, ANALYSIS, p 271, PERSONAL VIEW, p 297